Countdown to a Very Bad Deal l High Frontier

The pending Deal with Iran is little to no help in preventing metastasizing of the Iranian nuclear threat. Indeed it could become a capstone for Iran gaining confidence in the deliverable capability it has pursed for many years, i.e., via a deliberate path toward nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them—to attack the “Little Satan” Israel and the “Great Satan” America.

On Sunday, Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR) became the 31^st Senate Democrat to announce he will support President Obama’s Deal with Iran—just three votes shy of the number needed to sustain the President’s threatened veto of Congress’ anticipated opposition to the Deal. Meanwhile, Senator Harry Reid (D-NV) is seeking to head off even this face-off by getting 41 votes to block even the “Congressional Resolution of Disapproval” that the President is expected to veto.

The President’s and the Democrat leaders’ commitment to going all out to get his Deal over the objections of the clear majority of Senators, Representatives and the American people is unmistakable. But the principles behind his insistence are difficult to understand, given that the Deal is obviously such a bad deal for America and its closest ally in the Middle East, Israel.

Consider just a few of the faults of the Joint Comprehensive Program of Action (JCPOA):

Perhaps of greatest immediate importance is that the Deal removes the sanctions—expectations of this relief, which will immediately make available to the Iranian Mullahs tens of billions of dollars, are already leading to deals with Russia that will provide Iran with advanced defenses and offenses, which will make dealing with Iran’s future threats more difficult. For example, Michael Maloof reports in World Net Daily that Russia is to sell to Iran its S-300 advanced air defense system and Sukhoi-30 jet fighters, reported to be more capable than the F-18s the United States sold to Israel. These systems will further stress the relations between Iran and Israel—and Iran’s Arab enemies. How will this move reduce tensions in the Middle East? Furthermore, as Iran inevitably moves toward a nuclear capability, will a nuclear arms race between Shia and Sunni nations in the Middle East not follow?
President Obama’s claim that the Deal will “block every pathway Iran might take to a nuclear weapon” is patently false. Indeed, its ambiguous provisions undercut any prospect of effective verification of compliance under the loose terms of the JCPOA—some terms are laughable, if they don’t make you want to cry. For example, Iran will retain its existing uranium enhancement infrastructure (and thousands of centrifuges) developed in violation to its commitments as a member of the Nuclear Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT) regime. Indeed, the terms of the JCPOA are even less restrictive than the NPT terms and will replace the NPT regime. We’d be better off to reject the JCPOA and to seek better enforcement of the existing NPT. Even so, those NPT terms and related verification measures of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) are not very effective, as evidenced by North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons in spite of IAEA efforts to block them.
Even the less restrictive terms of the JCPOA are unverifiable—in spite of the administration’s claims otherwise. Under other “laughable, while we cry” terms—which our so-called “negotiators” were not involved in negotiating, Iran will be inspecting itself in some facilities. Click here for more detail on the ridiculous side deal between the IAEA and Iran re. Parchin, the place where Iran has conducted much of the military research connected with its nuclear project including work on triggers for bombs. Such absurd conditions turn Ronald Reagan mandate to “Trust but Verify” on its head. Just trust . . . and falsely claim to the American people—as President Obama has claimed—that the agreement “does not rely on trust; it relies on verification.” As a crowning blow, note that instead of the promised “anytime, anyplace” inspection regime, activities covered by the JCPOA that can be challenged for inspection are embedded in arcane processes that assure bureaucratic stagnation for weeks—if not months. One should bear in mind that Iran has violated its agreements for years—and the IAEA has often been surprised.

These comments should be sufficient to make clear that the JCPOA is little to no help in preventing metastasizing of the Iranian nuclear threat—indeed it could become a capstone for Iran gaining confidence in the deliverable capability it has pursed for many years, i.e., via a deliberate path toward nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. And rest assured that the targets of that capability are the “Little Satan” Israel and the “Great Satan” America.

Indeed, we should not be surprised if we eventually discover that Iran, today, already has nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them. On February 1. 2015, I joined several quite well informed colleagues in drafting an article published by Newsmax, entitled: “Experts: Iran Now a Nuclear-Ready State, Missiles Capable of Hitting US.” More recently, Retired Major General Paul Vallely has repeatedly claimed that it is “highly likely” that Iran already has nuclear weapons and the means to deliver them.

This concern is nothing new. On October 27, 2011, Reza Kahlili wrote in the Washington Times an article entitled, “Iran Already Has Nuclear Weapons” and indicated that Western Intelligence has known it for years. (Reza Kahlili is a pseudonym for this former CIA spy and author of “A Time to Betray,” about his double life in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, Threshold Editions, Simon & Schuster, 2010).

If these concerns are true, the bottom line is that the JCPOA is not worth the paper it is printed on. It does nothing to protect the West—indeed it distracts from a very real threat which it in fact exacerbates.

Those in Congress who go along with it in the future will likely have much to answer for.

A Recess Challenge.

Unless a sufficient number of our representatives (e.g., at least 67 Senators and 290 Representatives) are persuaded during their current recess to overrule the President’s veto of legislation not to approve the Deal, votes to back President Obama’s Deal with Iran will put us on a disastrous course for madness in the Middle East—which can easily extend to America. And this does not even consider the potential nuclear arms race between the Sunni and Shia states that also would have global implications.

Let your representatives know of your concerns during this recess period. In particular, let them know how you feel about the very consequential votes they will face shortly after they return on the Deal with Iran.

Don’t forget that one high altitude nuclear explosion can destroy the electric power grid and most Americans could perish within a year. And someday there will a major solar storm that could produce the same result. The only question is “Will we be prepared when it occurs?”

Bottom Lines.

While allegedly seeking a decade free of Iranian nuclear weapons, our leaders are ignoring the near-term existential threat from Iran (and North Korea) posed by nuclear weapons detonated in space over the United States. This threat already exists from North Korea—and may exist from Iran. The Deal with Iran will do little if anything to reduce that threat. Actually, it will make an unrecognized threat worse.

Even ISIS could create this existential threat if they buy a SCUD missile (easy to do) and somehow get a nuclear weapon to mount as a payload, a difficult but not implausible task for them and/or their allies—perhaps even with an Iranian nuclear weapon.

Still the Washington “powers that be” continue to ignore this existential threat reality. The American people need to inform themselves of these realities and demand that their current and future representative provide for the common defense as they are sworn to do.

The key question is, “Do we have the will and time to do so?”

Near Term High Frontier Plans.

In addition to continuing to press for building the most cost-effective ballistic missile defenses possible, we will continue working with South Carolina folks to build a coalition to engage constructively with private citizens and their local and state representatives and other authorities to work with the SC National Guard in understanding and responding to the existential threats to the electric power grid.

What can you do?

Join us in praying for our nation, and for a rebirth of the freedom sought, achieved and passed to us by those who came before us.

Help us to spread our message to the grass roots and to encourage all “powers that be” to provide for the common defense as they are sworn to do.

Begin by passing this message to your friends and suggest they visit our webpage www.highfrontier.org, for more information. Also, please encourage your sphere of influence to sign up for our weekly e-newsletter.

Encourage them to review our past email messages, posted on www.highfrontier.org, to learn about many details related to the existential manmade and natural EMP threats and how we can protect America against them. I hope you will help us with our urgently needed efforts, which I will be discussing in future messages.

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