August 6, 2019—The Green Old Deal …

While I am not an atmospheric/weather expert, I am certain that no competent scientist would consider as credible the dire “Green New Deal” Global Warming predictions it is being advanced to address. Moreover, such an event flies in the face of all history with which I am familiar.

Thus, this week’s message will elaborate some of that background so that our High Frontier readers will not be taken in by such nonsense. And secondly, I hope to argue persuasively that initiatives our leaders have already taken because of alleged “global warming-climate change” are counterproductive — and should be reversed.

Based on a growing drumbeat, one might believe that “Global Warming” is a sure thing.

Click here for an October 7, 2018 Washington Post report that UN scientists claimed we had just over a decade to get climate change under control. Such reports have led to exaggerated claims by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and embodied in her proposed “Green New Deal” as her label for seeking conditions to lead us to a socialist utopia.

(AOC’s Green New Deal imitates President Franklin Roosevelt’s “New Deal” of government subsidies to help American workers out of the 1930s Depression. “Green” emphasizes subsidizing renewable energy sources rather than coal, oil and gas considered to be “dirty” sources of gasses that lead to increases in the atmosphere’s temperature.)

Moreover, this “AOC” perspective has been reflected by pronouncements of most if not all Democrat contenders to become our next President, as indicated in last week’s CNN 6-hour debate. In my view, such claims are absurd.

There is of course no argument that discounts the fact of “climate change” — in my 80-plus years, I have experienced warmer weather and colder weather.

Now we are in a “warmer weather” cycle. But this too shall pass — and we soon may in store for global cooling. As an excuse for this inevitable development the liberal community moved from concerns about “Global Warming” to “Climate Change” — but of course retaining the argument that this cycle is all the fault of humans (and their cattle due to the “methane” in their flatuence as they graze).

Check here for Ethan Siegel’s July 19, 2015 interesting Forbes article, “Global Warming Will Destroy The Earth In The End,” considering what I believe to be the real dynamics of Global Warming-Climate Change — but over many billions of years and irrespective of the minute effects of human interactions. The time for such dire consequences is because of solar effects and orbital mechanics.

A major alleged culprit for this warmer weather is “carbon” in the atmosphere — hence, we seek to limit and even eliminate coal as a primary source of energy, in spite of its dominant role in producing the nation’s electricity. And this ignores the more extensive use of coal by other nations — a situation not significantly affected by output from numerous “Climate Change” conferences held by the United Nations.

Click here for an interesting November 28, 1018 American Thinker discussion of numerous past studies by Jack Heller (“A quick refresher course to remind us of previous global warming/cooling scares”) that should cause one to at least ponder the current claims about global warming ending our world as we know it.

Now for a little of the past history on the threat of “global cooling,” beginning with a consequential event that demonstrably altered the climate. Click here for a very interesting June 10, 2016 Washington Post article on the “Epic volcanic eruption that led to ‘the year without summer.’”

As its author Jack Williams reported, “Volcanic eruptions are climate wild cards. No eruption illustrates that more than Mount Tambora,” which in April 1815 blew its top from a small island in Indonesia. “Tambora’s blasts and the tsunamis they caused killed an estimated 92,000 people, including those who starved to death because the volcanic debris killed livestock and crops.”

We now know that Tambora’s eruption in Indonesia was the major cause of the following year, 1816, being cooler than average across the entire Northern Hemisphere, due to its ash-cloud of sulfur-dioxide that shot more than 20 miles high into the atmosphere — higher than where our day-to-day weather takes place — into the stratosphere where it took a long time for its effects to decay.

The above linked article discusses a number of interesting consequences of this one event, including on the literature of Western Civilization. There have been other volcanic eruptions with less but still important consequences.

I am interested in the 1980 eruption of Mt. St. Helens in Washington State (See below.) because I oversaw studies at the time — not to understand its effect on the weather but to understand how best to assure the Strategic Air Command that our strategic aircraft could operate effectively after a major nuclear attack on the U.S. that lofted ejecta high into the atmosphere.

This eruption was the most significant volcanic eruption to occur in the contiguous 48 U.S. states since the much smaller 1915 eruption of Lassen Peak in California. Click here for a pertinent discussion of its effects on the weather. Notably, the authors report “virtually no climatic effects.”

Of more interest to today’s discussion was that at the same time I also oversaw research at Research and Defense Associates (RDA) being conducted by Dr. Rich Turco, who was seeking to model theoretically the effects of atmospheric chemistry on the atmospheric temperature/climate caused by such events.

Subsequently he joined forces with noted physicist Carl Sagan in authoring a number of articles on “global cooling” they expected would result from ejecta lifted high into the atmosphere from a major nuclear exchange. They in turn joined with three others (Owen Toon, Tom Ackerman and Jim Pollak) to issue the “TTAPS” reports on “nuclear winter” they believed would result from a nuclear exchange.

From my perspective at the time, I was not impressed by the theoretical modeling of such complex atmospheric effects, which had never been adequately validated. And my skepticism remains insofar as unvalidated theoretical modeling goes, though it surely should be much better than in the 1980s.

That skepticism affects my consideration of the above mentioned UN scientists’ estimates of the dire effects of Carbon Dioxide and Methane on the climate. In my opinion, the effects of such as the aforementioned natural causes are likely to be much more consequential. I also expect Solar Cycles and Orbital Mechanics to have major influences, and I’m not sure how well we understand those effects.

For such reasons, I support President Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement. It was at best a ruse — as are many current claims of those advocating the “Green New Deal” and/or its various titles and related proposals.

From a more consequential perspective, I am very concerned that undue claims about Global Warming have led to a degradation in our reliance on our coal power plants, second only to our hydroelectric power plants in their resilience in case of major electric power grid blackouts — especially due to electromagnetic pulse (EMP) effects. In my judgment, the serious consequences of shutting down our coal plants deserves priority consideration by those seeking to support President Trump’s March 26, 2019 Executive Order on Coordinating National Resilience to Electromagnetic Pulses.

Moreover, the powers that be should give attention to the increasing reliance on natural gas power plants and pipelines that are presumably replacing the electricity previously produced by retiring coal plants. In my opinion, this natural gas infrastructure is so heavily dependent on small computers that it is likely to be vulnerable to EMP. Major hardening of that infrastructure is likely needed to assure its viability. And regular testing is essential to maintain its hardness.

Shutting down our resilient coal plants and supporting infrastructure, while simply proliferating new natural gas plants and supporting infrastructure is in my judgment very unwise — especially if there is no major rigorous program to assure their viability if exposed to natural and manmade EMP, as I believe is the current case.

Notably, renewable energy sources produce only a small percentage of the nation’s electricity — though they are the primary focus of the Green New Deal advocates. A lot of sound and fury signifying very little.

More for another day.

Bottom Lines.

The “Green New Deal” is at best a misleading label, consequentially misleading Americans as they consider the threats to critical infrastructure upon which our survival depends.

The threat of global warming and/or global cooling has been much overstated. It’s been warmer and it’s been cooler. Our weather/climate is clearly dependent on natural events beyond our ability to control — manmade effects, not so much in my opinion.

The “powers that be” should give more attention to reversing the contrary effects of shutting down our Coal Plants that are much more resilient than the natural gas plants and associated pipeline infrastructure upon which we are increasingly dependent.

In any case, we need hardening and hardness maintenance programs to assure the viability of entire electric power grid.

What can you do?

Join us in praying for our nation, and for a rebirth of the freedom sought, achieved and passed to us by those who came before us.

Help us to spread our message to the grass roots and to encourage all “powers that be” to provide for the common defense as they are sworn to do.

Begin by passing this message to your friends and suggest they visit our webpage www.highfrontier.org, for more information. Also, please encourage your sphere of influence to sign up for our weekly e-newsletter.

Encourage them to review our past email messages, posted on www.highfrontier.org, to learn about many details related to the existential manmade and natural EMP threats and how we can protect America against them. I hope you will help us with our urgently needed efforts, which I will be discussing in future messages.

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