Category Archives: Black Swan

March 3, 2015 –  On Bibi’s Knowns and Unknowns

March 3, 2015 – On Bibi’s Knowns and Unknowns

In seeking to protect Israel from an existential Iranian threat, Prime Minister Netanyahu confronts problematic facts and key uncertainties. It will be interesting to hear how he deals with them in today’s address to Congress and all Americans—who also face an existential threat from Iran, whether they know it or not. Read Full Story

December 18, 2013—Stormy Weather . . .

December 18, 2013—Stormy Weather . . .

Major solar storms will one day inject a massive cloud of electric particles into the earth’s geomagnetic field, producing a major electromagnetic pulse (EMP) that causes catastrophic permanent damage to the electric power grid, unless it is hardened. Our “just-in-time” economy would halt indefinitely, and without necessities dependent on electricity, several hundred million Americans would die within a year. Time to pay attention to such “stormy weather,” don’t you think? Read Full Story

December 11, 2013—Coming Soon: An EMP “Black Swan” Event?

December 11, 2013—Coming Soon: An EMP “Black Swan” Event?

The Japanese surprise attack on Pearl Harbor 72 years ago was a classic “Black Swan” event in that it was unexpected but should have been, as concluded after the fact. A fair question is whether we are courting another “surprise” attack that should be identified now and countered while there is still time to prevent or defend against it? Read Full Story